مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v San Diego Padres

البداية: 2026-04-07 22:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.10%1.75السعر العادل
EV +1.07%
الأفضلية +0.602%
Kelly +1.38%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.42%57.12%57.12%58.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.671.671.7762.50%59.78%59.88%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Diego Padres (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.90%2.33السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.578%
Kelly -1.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.03%42.88%42.88%44.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.142.232.242.3046.73%44.84%44.64%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV +1.07%E +0.602%K +1.38%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-07 22:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV +0.495%E +0.281%K +0.652%G +0.003%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 22:24
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.76%E -0.768%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-07 21:44
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 21:45
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-07 21:45
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:30
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.36%E -1.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 22:24
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 20:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:35
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 16:44
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 22:25
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 21:44
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 21:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.19%E -0.959%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 21:15
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 20:00
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.62%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:24
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 21:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 19:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:04
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.19%E -0.959%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 19:45
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:25
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 19:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.64%E -5.40%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 16:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-04-07 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:35
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-07 21:05
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-07 20:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-04-07 21:30
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%4.3%2026-04-07 22:24