L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 22:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 57.10%1.75cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.602%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.42%57.12%57.12%58.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7762.50%59.78%59.88%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.90%2.33cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.578%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.88%42.88%44.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.232.242.3046.73%44.84%44.64%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV +1.07%E +0.602%K +1.38%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-07 22:30
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV +0.495%E +0.281%K +0.652%G +0.003%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 22:24
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.76%E -0.768%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-07 21:44
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 21:45
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.05%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 21:45
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-07 21:45
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.79%E -1.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:30
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.36%E -1.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 22:24
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 20:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.93%E -1.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:35
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 16:44
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 22:25
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 21:44
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.50%E -2.07%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 21:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.19%E -0.959%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 21:15
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.07%E -2.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 20:00
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.62%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:24
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 21:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 21:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 19:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.64%E -2.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 21:15
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.21%E -3.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:04
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.19%E -0.959%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 19:45
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 21:25
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.33%E -1.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 21:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.36%E -3.88%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 19:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.64%E -5.40%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.33%E -0.578%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 16:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-04-07 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-07 22:35
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-04-07 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-07 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-07 21:05
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-07 20:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-04-07 21:30
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%4.3%2026-04-07 22:24