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Pittsburgh Pirates v New York Mets

2026-08-08 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 56.21%1.78fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.17%56.22%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.701.7660.98%58.79%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 43.79%2.28fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.656%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%43.83%43.78%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.182.2547.62%46.02%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 56.21%; New York Mets (Visit): 43.79%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.76, with an expected value of -1.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.07%E -0.607%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.07%E -0.607%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.07%E -0.607%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:30
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.07%E -0.607%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 00:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 00:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 21:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 19:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:30
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:15
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.42%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 20:15
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.42%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 20:15
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 01:25
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 00:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 18:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-08-08 00:55
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-08 01:25
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-07 21:20
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-08-08 01:35
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-08-07 23:00
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%3.3%2026-08-08 01:35
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%6.8%2026-08-08 01:35