Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pittsburgh Pirates v New York Mets

Inizio: 2026-08-08 22:41 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 9–0 New York Mets

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

52%

48%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 52.25%1.91quota equa

EV -1.77%

Vantaggio -0.942%

Kelly -2.01%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

51.33%52.28%52.22%53.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.741.831.831.8857.47%54.77%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

New York Mets (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.75%2.09quota equa

EV -0.679%

Vantaggio -0.327%

Kelly -0.629%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

46.94%47.72%47.78%48.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.932.002.002.0851.81%49.89%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa): 52.25%; New York Mets (Trasferta): 47.75%. Per New York Mets (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.09. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.08, con un valore atteso del -0.679%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
FanDuel🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.77%E -0.942%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-08 21:35
DraftKings🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.77%E -0.942%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.63%E -0.793%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-08 22:39
1xBet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.77%E -0.942%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-08 22:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.77%E -0.942%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-08 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.77%E -0.942%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.07%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-08 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.77%E -0.942%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.07%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-08 22:19
GTbets🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.77%E -0.942%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.07%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-08 22:20
BetUS🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.77%E -0.942%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.07%E -1.51%K -2.98%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-08 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.29%E -1.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.01%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-08 21:35
BetAnything🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.29%E -1.23%K -2.64%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-08 22:19
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-08 22:20
TAB🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-08 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-08 21:34
Caesars🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.86%E -2.10%K -4.60%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.679%E -0.327%K -0.629%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-08 22:18
BetRivers🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.01%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-08 20:59
Svenska Spel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.01%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-08 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-08 22:40
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 21:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 21:34
ReBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 22:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 21:39
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 22:39
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 22:19
BetMGM🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 22:20
LeoVegas🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-08 22:39
NordicBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 22:30
Betsson🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 22:29
PlayUp🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 22:30
Neds🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 22:24
Fliff🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-08 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.38%E -2.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.84%E -4.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-08 22:24
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-08 21:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.59%E -1.27%K -2.49%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-08 21:39
Bet Right🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.02%E -2.00%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-08 22:29
Coolbet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-08 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.98%E -2.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-08 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.91%E -2.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-08 22:39
Unibet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-08 21:40
Casumo🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-08 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-08 21:40
betPARX🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-08 21:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-08 21:38
ATG (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-08 21:40
SportsBet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-08 21:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.43%E -3.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.93%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-08 22:39
TABtouch🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 21:39
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.54%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-08 22:30
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 21:34
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 21:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 21:34
William Hill🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 16:14
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 22:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 21:34
betano_uk🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 22:40
Bet Victor🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.95%E -3.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-08 22:38
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.00%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-08 21:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.00%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-08 21:39
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.00%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.45%E -2.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-08 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.00%E -3.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.84%E -4.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-08 22:18
Grosvenor🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -9.09%E -5.22%K -12.28%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -7.36%E -3.80%K -7.83%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-08 21:39

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%	2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%	0.3%	2026-08-08 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%	0.5%	2026-08-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%	0.5%	2026-08-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%	0.5%	2026-08-08 22:20
Kalshi◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-08-08 21:55
Polymarket◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-08-08 21:05
Novig◎	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%	1.2%	2026-08-08 22:40
Matchbook◎	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%	1.7%	2026-08-08 22:40
BetOpenly◎	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%	2.3%	2026-08-08 22:40
Smarkets◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%	3.1%	2026-08-08 22:25