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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Pittsburgh Pirates v New York Mets

2026-08-08 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 56.21%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.607%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%56.17%56.22%57.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.701.701.7660.98%58.78%58.82%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 43.79%2.28momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.656%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.00%43.83%43.78%45.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.172.182.2547.62%46.01%45.87%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 56.21%; New York Mets (Visitante): 43.79%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.76, con un valor esperado de -1.07%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.07%E -0.607%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.23%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.07%E -0.607%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.07%E -0.607%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:30
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.07%E -0.607%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 00:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.48%E -0.656%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 00:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.19%E -1.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 21:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.75%E -1.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.32%E -1.93%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 02:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 19:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 02:20
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.10%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 19:15
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.44%E -2.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.91%E -0.854%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.42%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 20:15
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.42%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 20:15
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 01:25
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 00:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.66%E -1.67%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.13%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 18:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-08-08 01:55
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-08 01:25
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-07 21:20
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-08 02:35
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-08 02:50
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-08-07 23:00
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%8.7%2026-08-08 02:45