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Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV +0.595%
Edge +0.320%
Kelly +0.691%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.94%54.17%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.761.8658.48%56.62%56.82%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV +0.099%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.084%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.06%45.83%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.092.1851.28%48.16%47.85%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 54.08%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 45.92%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.595%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.595%E +0.320%K +0.691%G +0.004% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 15:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.054%E +0.029%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 15:30 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 04:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 04:34 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 16:03 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 16:05 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| BetAnything | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:13 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:20 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.71%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 16:13 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.70% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.30% | -0.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |