La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Predicción 54.08%1.85momio equitativo
EV +0.595%
Ventaja +0.320%
Kelly +0.691%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.94%54.17%55.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.771.761.8658.48%56.62%56.82%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)
Predicción 45.92%2.18momio equitativo
EV +0.099%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.084%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.06%45.83%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.092.1851.28%48.16%47.85%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.595%E +0.320%K +0.691%G +0.004% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 15:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.054%E +0.029%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 15:30 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 04:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 04:34 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 16:03 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 16:05 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| BetAnything | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 15:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:13 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:20 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 14:24 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.71%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 16:13 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.70% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.30% | -0.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 16:09 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 16:10 |