La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers

Inizio: 2026-07-12 16:16 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 14–5 Milwaukee Brewers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 54.08%1.85quota equa
EV +0.595%
Vantaggio +0.320%
Kelly +0.691%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.94%54.17%55.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.771.761.8658.48%56.62%56.82%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Milwaukee Brewers (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.92%2.18quota equa
EV +0.099%
Vantaggio +0.045%
Kelly +0.084%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.73%46.06%45.83%48.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.082.092.1851.28%48.16%47.85%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.595%E +0.320%K +0.691%G +0.004%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 15:29
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV +0.054%E +0.029%K +0.063%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 15:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:09
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 04:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 14:24
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:14
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 16:14
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 04:34
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 16:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 16:03
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 16:05
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 16:14
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 16:14
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 15:15
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV +0.099%E +0.045%K +0.084%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 16:14
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 16:14
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -0.820%E -0.379%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 16:14
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:39
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.34%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 15:39
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 14:24
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:09
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:09
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 14:20
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 15:09
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 16:14
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 15:14
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:14
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:14
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 16:14
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 14:25
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 14:19
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.81%E -2.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:14
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:13
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:10
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:15
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:15
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:15
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:14
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 14:19
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 14:19
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 16:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 14:24
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.28%E -0.595%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 16:09
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:14
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:14
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:14
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:14
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 16:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 15:15
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.71%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 16:13
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.70%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.30%-0.1%2026-07-12 16:14
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-12 16:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-12 16:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-12 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-12 16:14
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-07-12 16:14
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-12 16:14
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-12 16:09
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-12 16:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-07-12 16:10