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Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 43.43%2.30fair odd
EV -0.547%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.424%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.49%43.44%45.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.172.2948.78%45.82%46.08%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 56.57%1.77fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%56.51%56.56%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.701.8062.50%59.01%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +1.83%E +1.02%K +2.28%G +0.042% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 16:29 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| GTbets | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.547%E -0.239%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.547%E -0.239%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.981%E -0.430%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.981%E -0.430%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| BetAnything | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| BetUS | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 19:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 19:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 19:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 19:09 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 19:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.19%E -2.87%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 19:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 19:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 19:09 |
| Caesars | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.59%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 19:09 |
| ReBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.89%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 19:44 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 19:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 19:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 19:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.97%E -5.35%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 20:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.22%E -4.40%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | -0.1% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Novig | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-07-11 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| ProphetX | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 20:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |