La escuela de los momios

Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-07-11 20:16 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 43.43%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.547%
Ventaja -0.239%
Kelly -0.424%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%43.49%43.44%45.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.172.2948.78%45.82%46.08%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.57%1.77momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +2.28%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.43%56.51%56.56%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.701.8062.50%59.01%58.82%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +1.83%E +1.02%K +2.28%G +0.042%2.1%2026-07-11 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:14
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 16:29
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.547%E -0.239%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:14
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.547%E -0.239%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:10
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.981%E -0.430%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:14
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.981%E -0.430%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:14
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:14
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:14
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 19:54
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:09
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:04
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:04
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:14
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:14
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:14
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:09
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:54
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:59
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 19:55
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.19%E -2.87%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 19:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:54
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 19:09
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.59%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 19:09
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:54
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:09
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:14
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 19:59
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:04
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 19:54
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.89%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:09
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 20:14
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:54
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 19:55
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:14
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 20:14
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.97%E -5.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 20:08
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.22%E -4.40%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 20:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 20:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%-0.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-07-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 20:14
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-07-11 20:14
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-11 20:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-07-11 20:14
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-07-11 20:14