La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers

Inizio: 2026-07-11 20:16 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 43.43%2.30quota equa
EV -0.547%
Vantaggio -0.239%
Kelly -0.424%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.31%43.49%43.44%45.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.182.172.2948.78%45.82%46.08%43.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Milwaukee Brewers (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.57%1.77quota equa
EV +1.83%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +2.28%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.43%56.51%56.56%57.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.691.701.8062.50%59.01%58.82%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV +1.83%E +1.02%K +2.28%G +0.042%2.1%2026-07-11 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:14
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 20:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.13%E -1.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 16:29
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.70%E -1.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.547%E -0.239%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:14
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.547%E -0.239%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 20:10
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.981%E -0.430%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:14
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.981%E -0.430%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 20:14
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:14
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.42%E -0.624%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 20:14
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 19:54
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:09
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:04
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:04
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:14
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:14
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:14
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.06%E -3.30%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:09
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 19:54
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:59
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.76%E -2.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 19:55
SportsBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.19%E -2.87%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 19:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:54
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.83%E -2.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 19:09
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.59%E -1.62%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 19:09
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:54
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.40%E -2.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:09
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:14
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 19:59
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.72%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:04
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.15%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 19:54
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.89%E -2.23%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 20:04
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.32%E -2.44%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:09
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.96%E -2.95%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 20:14
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:54
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.53%E -3.31%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 19:55
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 20:14
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.63%E -3.08%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 20:14
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.97%E -5.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.66%E -4.04%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 20:08
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.46%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.22%E -4.40%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 20:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.80%E -4.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.49%E -5.93%K -15.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 20:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%-0.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-07-11 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-07-11 20:14
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%0.8%2026-07-11 20:14
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-11 20:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-11 20:04
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-07-11 20:14
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-07-11 20:14