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Pittsburgh Pirates v Los Angeles Angels

2026-09-04 22:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 63.79%1.57fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.729%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%63.77%63.75%64.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.501.501.5568.97%66.66%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 36.21%2.76fair odd
EV -0.415%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.29%36.23%36.25%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.602.7540.82%38.23%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 63.79%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 36.21%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.75, with an expected value of -0.415%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.13%E -0.729%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.28%E -4.60%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:00
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.13%E -0.729%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.28%E -4.60%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 01:00
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.77%E -1.15%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.23%E -0.824%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.41%E -1.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.04%E -2.00%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.415%E -0.151%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.415%E -0.151%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 18:20
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.415%E -0.151%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 19:44
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -0.415%E -0.151%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 19:58
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -0.778%E -0.284%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 23:55
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.23%E -0.824%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 19:29
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:15
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 20:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.93%E -2.70%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.68%E -2.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.93%E -2.70%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.415%E -0.151%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 00:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 02:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:35
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.32%E -2.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 01:30
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.23%E -0.824%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 01:50
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:35
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -3.31%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 00:44
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.96%E -3.33%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.21%E -2.40%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:15
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.12%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -6.87%E -4.71%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.87%E -4.71%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.28%E -4.60%K -7.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 00:45
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 00:40
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.51%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 00:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-09-04 00:55
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-09-04 02:10
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-04 00:05
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-09-03 23:05
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-09-04 02:00
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%3.4%2026-09-03 23:55
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 62.56%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.44%9.5%2026-09-03 23:45