Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-09-04 22:46 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 1–0 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 63.47%1.58odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.25%63.43%63.41%64.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.501.5569.44%66.39%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 36.53%2.74odd justa
EV +0.099%
Vantagem +0.036%
Kelly +0.057%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.38%36.57%36.59%38.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.612.612.7440.82%38.38%38.31%36.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 63.47%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 36.53%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.737. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.740, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.099%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.099%E +0.036%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.997%E -0.368%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.997%E -0.368%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 11:44
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:45
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 11:45
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 11:45
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 12:49
theScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 13:29
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.82%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:19
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 05:04
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.55%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:05
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 20:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 07:20
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 01:19
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 07:14
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 04:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 05:10
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -5.38%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:44
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.11%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.11%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:19
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:19
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:23
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.50%E -4.28%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.50%E -4.28%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-04 14:15
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-09-04 13:40
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 09:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.76%8.6%2026-09-04 14:30