مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Pittsburgh Pirates v Los Angeles Angels

البداية: 2026-09-04 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 1–0 Los Angeles Angels

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.47%1.58السعر العادل
EV -1.63%
الأفضلية -1.05%
Kelly -2.96%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.25%63.43%63.41%64.62%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.511.501.5569.44%66.39%66.67%64.52%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Los Angeles Angels (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.53%2.74السعر العادل
EV +0.099%
الأفضلية +0.036%
Kelly +0.057%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.38%36.57%36.59%38.75%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.452.612.612.7440.82%38.38%38.31%36.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)⁩: ⁨63.47%⁩؛ ⁨Los Angeles Angels (الضيف)⁩: ⁨36.53%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Los Angeles Angels (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.737⁩. عرضت شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.740⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.099%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +0.099%E +0.036%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.997%E -0.368%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.997%E -0.368%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 11:44
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.26%E -1.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 23:45
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 11:45
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 11:45
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 12:49
theScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.36%E -0.504%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 13:29
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.82%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:19
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 05:04
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.55%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 21:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:05
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.92%E -1.49%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 20:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 07:20
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 01:19
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 07:14
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 04:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.70%E -4.56%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.02%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 05:10
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -5.38%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:44
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.11%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.11%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.53%E -2.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:19
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.16%E -2.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:19
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:23
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.84%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.43%E -3.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.67%E -3.47%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.50%E -4.28%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.50%E -4.28%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-04 14:15
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-09-04 13:40
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 09:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-04 11:45
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.76%8.6%2026-09-04 14:30