Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 46.81%2.14fair odd
EV +0.642%
Edge +0.298%
Kelly +0.558%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.01%46.91%46.75%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.77%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 53.19%1.88fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%53.09%53.25%54.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.801.8657.14%55.84%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 46.81%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 53.19%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.642%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV +0.642%E +0.298%K +0.558%G +0.004% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.60%E -0.864%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.07%E -0.573%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.73%E -2.06%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 11:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.73%E -2.06%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 15:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 09:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 11:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 11:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 11:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.79%E -2.68%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.79%E -2.68%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.06%E -5.82%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.60%E -0.864%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23% | -0.1% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.7% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |