La escuela de los momios

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-05-25 17:36 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 2–1 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 46.81%2.14momio equitativo
EV +0.642%
Ventaja +0.298%
Kelly +0.558%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.01%46.91%46.75%49.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.77%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 53.19%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.573%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.67%53.09%53.25%54.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.791.801.8657.14%55.84%55.56%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV +0.642%E +0.298%K +0.558%G +0.004%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 17:20
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 17:20
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 16:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 16:00
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:20
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:20
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.60%E -0.864%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 17:20
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 17:20
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 16:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:19
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.07%E -0.573%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-25 15:40
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 17:19
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 17:20
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 17:20
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.73%E -2.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 11:50
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.73%E -2.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 15:49
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:50
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 12:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 09:29
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:48
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:49
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 15:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:19
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:10
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:20
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:19
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 15:50
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:50
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 12:39
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.79%E -2.68%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.79%E -2.68%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:49
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 15:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 04:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 15:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 15:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 15:09
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.06%E -5.82%K -12.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.60%E -0.864%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 17:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-05-25 17:30
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-25 17:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-25 17:30
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-05-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-25 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-25 17:30
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-25 15:30
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-25 12:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-05-25 17:30