L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 17:36 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 2–1 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 46.81%2.14cote équitable
EV +0.642%
Avantage +0.298%
Kelly +0.558%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.01%46.91%46.75%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.77%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.19%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.573%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.67%53.09%53.25%54.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.791.801.8657.14%55.84%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV +0.642%E +0.298%K +0.558%G +0.004%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 17:20
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 17:20
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 16:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 16:00
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:20
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.70%E -0.809%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:20
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.60%E -0.864%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 17:20
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 17:20
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 16:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:19
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:20
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.07%E -0.573%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-25 15:40
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 17:19
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 17:20
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.10%E -1.50%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.39%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 17:20
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.57%E -1.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.73%E -2.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 11:50
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.73%E -2.06%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 15:49
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:50
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 12:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 09:29
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:48
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 11:49
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 11:50
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.85%E -3.31%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 15:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:19
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:10
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 12:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.04%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.92%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:20
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 12:19
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 15:50
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:50
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 12:39
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.79%E -2.68%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.44%E -2.69%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.79%E -2.68%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 15:49
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.91%E -2.94%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 15:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.19%E -1.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 17:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 04:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 14:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 15:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.19%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 15:50
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.72%E -4.47%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.26%E -2.37%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 15:09
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -11.06%E -5.82%K -12.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -1.60%E -0.864%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 17:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-05-25 17:30
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-25 17:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-25 17:30
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-05-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-25 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-25 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-25 17:30
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-25 15:30
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-25 12:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-05-25 17:30