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Pittsburgh Pirates v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 47.73%2.10fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.75%47.78%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.0652.63%49.85%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%52.25%52.22%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.821.8957.47%54.89%54.95%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 47.73%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 52.27%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.89, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.68%E -0.815%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-03 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.68%E -0.815%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.77%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-03 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-03 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.21%E -0.638%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 18:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 17:43 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.43%E -3.59%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 19:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 19:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.02%E -2.52%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.82%E -2.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 20:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.98%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.32%E -4.90%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-04-03 20:10 |