L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 20:13 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 47.73%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.815%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.91%47.75%47.78%48.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.012.002.0652.63%49.85%50.00%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.27%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.638%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.35%52.25%52.22%54.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.821.821.8957.47%54.89%54.95%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.68%E -0.815%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-03 20:00
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.68%E -0.815%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.77%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 20:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 19:14
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 19:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 20:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 20:40
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 20:00
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.21%E -0.638%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 19:20
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 19:20
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 18:14
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 17:43
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:20
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 20:05
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:09
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.43%E -3.59%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 20:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:00
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:25
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:25
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:35
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 20:05
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:19
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:19
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:29
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 19:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 19:19
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 19:19
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 17:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 17:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 16:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 16:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 16:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 16:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 20:10
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.02%E -2.52%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.82%E -2.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:06
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 17:39
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.98%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:45
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.32%E -4.90%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-03 20:10
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-03 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-03 20:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-03 14:35
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-03 20:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-04-03 20:10