A Escola das Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-04-03 20:13 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 47.73%2.10odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.815%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%47.75%47.78%48.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.012.002.0652.63%49.85%50.00%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 52.27%1.91odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.638%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.35%52.25%52.22%54.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.821.821.8957.47%54.89%54.95%52.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.68%E -0.815%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-03 20:00
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.68%E -0.815%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.77%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 20:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 19:14
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 19:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 20:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 20:40
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 20:00
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.21%E -0.638%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 19:20
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-03 19:20
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 18:14
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 17:43
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:20
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 19:20
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 20:05
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 20:09
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.43%E -3.59%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 20:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:00
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:25
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 18:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:25
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 16:35
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 16:25
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 20:05
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:19
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:19
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:29
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 19:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 19:19
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 19:19
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 17:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 17:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 16:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 16:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 16:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 16:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 20:10
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.02%E -2.52%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.82%E -2.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:06
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 17:39
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.98%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 17:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:45
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.32%E -4.90%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 20:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-03 20:10
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%0.7%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-03 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-03 20:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-03 14:35
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-03 20:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-04-03 20:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-04-03 20:10