The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 12–4 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 57.21%1.75fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.36%57.22%58.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7362.50%59.89%59.88%57.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 42.79%2.34fair odd
EV -0.311%
Edge -0.133%
Kelly -0.234%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.31%42.64%42.78%44.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.252.3346.51%44.76%44.54%42.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.02%E -0.588%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 22:35
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -2.02%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 22:09
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:10
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.59%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 19:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 22:29
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 22:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.17%E -0.505%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:25
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 22:25
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 22:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 21:05
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 16:25
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:24
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 21:45
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 20:55
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:35
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 19:35
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 16:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 15:09
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:30
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:25
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:55
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:54
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:55
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:54
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:29
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:35
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:40
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:24
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.16%E -1.86%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 22:25
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:40
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -0.311%E -0.133%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 22:24
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:33
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 22:35
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 22:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-07 15:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-07 22:40
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-07-07 22:24
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-07-07 22:40