Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-07-07 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 12–4 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 57.21%1.75odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.588%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%57.36%57.22%58.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.7362.50%59.89%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 42.79%2.34odd justa
EV -0.311%
Vantagem -0.133%
Kelly -0.234%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.31%42.64%42.78%44.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.232.252.3346.51%44.76%44.54%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 57.21%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 42.79%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.33, com valor esperado de -0.311%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.02%E -0.588%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 22:35
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -2.02%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:10
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.59%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 19:10
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 22:29
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 22:24
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.17%E -0.505%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 22:25
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:39
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 21:05
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:24
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 20:55
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 19:35
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 16:34
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 15:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:54
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:29
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:34
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.16%E -1.86%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -0.311%E -0.133%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 22:24
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 22:35
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 22:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-07 15:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-07 22:40
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-07-07 22:24
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-07-07 22:40