L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 22:41 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 12–4 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 57.21%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.588%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%57.36%57.22%58.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7362.50%59.89%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.79%2.34cote équitable
EV -0.311%
Avantage -0.133%
Kelly -0.234%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.31%42.64%42.78%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.232.252.3346.51%44.76%44.54%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.02%E -0.588%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 22:35
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -2.02%E -0.883%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-07 22:09
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.59%E -0.925%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:10
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.59%E -0.693%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 19:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 22:29
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 22:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.17%E -0.505%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:25
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 22:25
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.73%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:39
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 22:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 21:05
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 16:25
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:24
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 21:45
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.31%E -1.46%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 20:55
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 14:35
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 19:35
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:35
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:25
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 16:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 15:09
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:30
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:25
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:55
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:54
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:55
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 20:54
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.59%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:29
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:35
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.02%E -3.03%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 14:34
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:40
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 14:39
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:24
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.16%E -1.86%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 22:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 22:25
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:40
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -0.311%E -0.133%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.74%E -4.13%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 22:24
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:33
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.73%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-07-07 22:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 22:35
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 22:35
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-07 15:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-07-07 22:40
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%2.9%2026-07-07 22:24
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%4.6%2026-07-07 22:40