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Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-29 16:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 55.14%1.81fair odd
EV -0.746%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -0.933%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.18%55.13%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.69%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 44.86%2.23fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%44.82%44.87%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.122.2048.78%47.14%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.746%E -0.415%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 18:09
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.31%E -0.596%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 19:39
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.21%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 17:55
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:55
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.00%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 17:54
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.00%E -1.87%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 18:00
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:00
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:44
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.45%E -2.09%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:59
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:35
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.90%E -2.31%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:09
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:54
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 18:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:54
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.55%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 18:30
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-28 19:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-28 19:39
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%8.5%2026-07-28 19:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-28 18:00
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%11.8%2026-07-28 19:35