Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-29 16:36 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 55.13%1.81odd justa
EV -0.758%
Vantagem -0.421%
Kelly -0.947%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%55.10%55.13%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.66%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 44.87%2.23odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.589%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%44.90%44.87%46.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.122.122.2048.78%47.16%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.758%E -0.421%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 18:09
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.30%E -0.589%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 19:39
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 17:55
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.03%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:55
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 17:54
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.03%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 20:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:00
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:44
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 20:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.89%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:59
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.89%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:35
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.89%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:09
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:54
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 18:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:54
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 18:30
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.03%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.03%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-28 19:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-28 19:39
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-07-28 20:29
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-28 18:00
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%11.8%2026-07-28 19:35