Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-29 16:36 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 55.13%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.758%
Ventaja -0.421%
Kelly -0.947%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.10%55.13%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.66%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 44.87%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.589%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%44.90%44.87%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.122.122.2048.78%47.16%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -0.758%E -0.421%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 18:09
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.30%E -0.589%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 19:39
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 17:55
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.41%E -1.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.03%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:55
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 17:54
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.99%E -1.86%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.51%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.03%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 20:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:00
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 18:44
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 20:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.07%E -2.34%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.44%E -2.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.89%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:59
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.89%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:59
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:35
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.89%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:09
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:54
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 18:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 17:54
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 18:30
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.72%E -3.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.37%E -4.39%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.03%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.03%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 17:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-28 19:45
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-28 19:39
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-07-28 20:29
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-28 18:00
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%11.8%2026-07-28 19:35