The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-27 22:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 53.57%1.87fair odd
EV +0.168%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.193%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%53.47%53.52%54.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.791.8758.82%56.14%56.02%53.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 46.43%2.15fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.53%46.48%47.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.042.052.1251.55%48.92%48.78%47.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +0.168%E +0.090%K +0.193%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -4.35%E -2.11%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-26 19:25
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.97%E -1.08%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.02%E -0.959%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-26 18:40
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.97%E -1.08%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.97%E -1.08%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:40
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.97%E -1.08%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:30
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.05%E -1.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.56%E -0.736%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 19:05
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.05%E -1.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:14
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.27%E -2.59%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.58%E -1.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 19:05
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.12%E -2.30%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.65%E -2.61%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:40
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.42%E -1.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 18:40
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.72%E -3.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.72%E -3.25%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.74%E -2.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:48
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.81%E -2.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.49%E -1.18%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:45
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.13%E -3.57%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.45%E -4.85%K -9.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.92%E -5.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-26 19:25
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-26 18:35
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.6%2026-07-26 19:25
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%10.1%2026-07-26 18:40