L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-27 22:40 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 53.63%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.34%53.60%53.56%54.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.801.8358.82%56.04%55.56%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.37%2.16cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.574%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.74%46.40%46.44%47.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.042.052.1351.55%48.90%48.78%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.87%E -1.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.69%E -0.795%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-26 20:15
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.87%E -1.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-26 18:40
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.87%E -1.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.87%E -1.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:40
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -1.87%E -1.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.32%E -3.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -1.87%E -1.02%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.79%E -3.38%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 19:55
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.40%E -1.32%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 20:05
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.94%E -1.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.69%E -0.795%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 19:05
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.22%E -0.574%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 20:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:44
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 19:05
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.47%E -1.93%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 20:25
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.01%E -2.24%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.54%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:40
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.54%E -1.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 18:40
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.62%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.62%E -3.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.86%E -2.89%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:48
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.16%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:30
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.85%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.84%E -5.20%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.84%E -5.20%K -12.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.03%E -5.17%K -10.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-07-26 20:20
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-26 18:35
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-26 20:25
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%10.1%2026-07-26 18:40