默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks

开赛时间: 2026-07-27 22:42 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Arizona Diamondbacks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 51.10%1.96公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -0.982%
Kelly -2.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布
49.33%50.95%51.15%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.871.9255.56%53.51%53.48%52.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)

预测 48.90%2.05公平赔率
EV -0.736%
优势 -0.363%
Kelly -0.715%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.03

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%49.05%48.85%50.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.951.952.0354.05%51.41%51.28%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):51.10%;Arizona Diamondbacks (客队):48.90%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.05。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.03,期望值为-0.736%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.89%E -0.982%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.71%E -0.853%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-27 22:35
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.89%E -0.982%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 22:27
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:35
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 22:40
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:15
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 22:35
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.736%E -0.363%K -0.715%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:35
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 22:38
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:15
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 09:15
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:39
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:39
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 22:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.97%E -3.25%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.97%E -3.25%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 20:15
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.00%E -3.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 22:10
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.00%E -3.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 17:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-27 22:40
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87%0.8%2026-07-27 22:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-27 22:25
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-27 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-07-27 22:40
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-07-27 22:40
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-27 22:35
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-07-27 22:25