Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 52.24%1.91fair odd
EV -0.224%
Edge -0.117%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.13%52.22%53.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.831.9157.47%54.38%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 47.76%2.09fair odd
EV -0.179%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.165%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%47.87%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.982.002.0952.63%50.47%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 52.24%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 47.76%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.094. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.090, with an expected value of -0.179%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.224%E -0.117%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.34%E -3.79%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.746%E -0.393%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.746%E -0.393%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.27%E -0.671%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.27%E -0.671%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:15
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:15
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 03:00
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:15
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:15
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 02:50
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:25
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.179%E -0.086%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.657%E -0.316%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.657%E -0.316%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 00:30
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.179%E -0.086%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.00%E -1.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:38
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:25
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.96%E -2.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.96%E -2.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:25
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:59
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:05
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.06%E -4.58%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.10%E -5.23%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.10%E -5.23%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-03-28 01:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-28 02:15
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09%1.6%2026-03-28 01:48
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-03-27 21:55
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%2.5%2026-03-28 01:55
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%9.2%2026-03-28 00:05