L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Texas Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 20:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 52.24%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.224%
Avantage -0.117%
Kelly -0.246%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.13%52.22%53.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.841.831.9157.47%54.38%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Texas Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.76%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.179%
Avantage -0.086%
Kelly -0.165%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.68%47.87%47.78%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.982.002.0952.63%50.47%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.224%E -0.117%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.34%E -3.79%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 18:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.746%E -0.393%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:50
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.746%E -0.393%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.27%E -0.671%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:15
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.27%E -0.671%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:15
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:15
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 03:00
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:15
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:15
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 02:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:25
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.179%E -0.086%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.657%E -0.316%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 18:55
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.657%E -0.316%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 18:55
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 00:30
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.179%E -0.086%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.00%E -1.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:38
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:25
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:40
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:40
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:20
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:50
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.96%E -2.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.96%E -2.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:25
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.06%E -4.58%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.10%E -5.23%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.10%E -5.23%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-03-28 01:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-28 02:15
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09%1.6%2026-03-28 01:48
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-03-27 21:55
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%2.5%2026-03-28 01:55
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%9.2%2026-03-28 00:05