La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-03-28 20:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 52.24%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.224%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.246%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.13%52.22%53.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.841.831.9157.47%54.38%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 47.76%2.09momio equitativo
EV -0.179%
Ventaja -0.086%
Kelly -0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.68%47.87%47.78%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.982.002.0952.63%50.47%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.224%E -0.117%K -0.246%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.34%E -3.79%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 18:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.746%E -0.393%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:50
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.746%E -0.393%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.27%E -0.671%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:15
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -1.27%E -0.671%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:15
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-28 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 02:15
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.79%E -0.953%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:15
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 03:00
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:15
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.31%E -1.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:15
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 02:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.36%E -1.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 02:25
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.179%E -0.086%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-27 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.657%E -0.316%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 18:55
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -0.657%E -0.316%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-27 18:55
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.88%E -2.11%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 00:30
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.179%E -0.086%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.00%E -1.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 02:38
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:40
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:25
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:40
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.40%E -2.41%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 18:40
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:20
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:50
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.96%E -2.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 00:00
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.96%E -2.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.93%E -2.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 21:25
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 02:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.97%E -3.32%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.06%E -4.58%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.10%E -5.23%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.10%E -5.23%K -12.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-03-28 01:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-28 02:15
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09%1.6%2026-03-28 01:48
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-27 21:10
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-03-27 21:55
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%2.5%2026-03-28 01:55
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%9.2%2026-03-28 00:05