Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 52.79%1.89fair odd
EV -0.747%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%52.75%52.72%53.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.821.8858.14%55.17%54.95%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 47.21%2.12fair odd
EV -0.867%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.789%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.56%47.25%47.28%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.012.002.1052.08%49.74%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 52.79%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 47.21%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -0.747%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.747%E -0.397%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-26 19:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.34%E -0.641%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-26 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.81%E -0.871%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-26 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.867%E -0.413%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-26 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.34%E -0.641%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-26 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.34%E -0.641%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-26 23:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 19:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.53%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.53%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.00%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.81%E -0.871%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 20:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 23:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.48%E -3.81%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.48%E -3.81%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 23:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 22:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 23:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 23:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.12%E -2.55%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 23:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -9.36%E -4.88%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.19%E -5.35%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.36%E -4.88%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-26 23:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-09-26 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |