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Philadelphia Phillies v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-09-26 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 49.21%2.03fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.67%49.35%49.19%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.931.9654.64%51.90%51.81%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 50.79%1.97fair odd
EV -0.450%
Edge -0.230%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.65%50.81%51.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.871.871.9656.50%53.49%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 49.21%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 50.79%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.96, with an expected value of -0.450%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.450%E -0.230%K -0.469%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-26 04:00
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.01%E -2.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 03:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 05:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 05:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 05:25
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.55%E -1.81%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 05:29
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 06:20
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 03:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 06:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 03:09
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 03:30
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 06:20
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 05:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 05:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 05:25
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 05:24
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 05:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.04%E -2.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 05:25
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 03:05
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 03:10
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.53%E -2.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 05:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 06:15
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.03%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 06:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.03%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 06:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.03%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 05:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.03%E -2.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.05%E -3.85%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 05:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.52%E -2.87%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.01%E -2.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 06:15
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.52%E -2.87%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 03:00
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.52%E -2.87%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 06:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.52%E -2.87%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.51%E -2.40%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.52%E -2.87%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.53%E -2.97%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 03:15
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 03:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 06:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.57%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 04:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 04:30
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.02%E -2.69%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 05:00
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:14
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:05
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:13
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.04%E -3.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:05
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 03:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 03:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 03:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 07:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.56%E -4.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 03:15
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -9.08%E -5.08%K -11.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 05:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.958%E -0.491%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -9.95%E -5.44%K -11.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -10.10%E -5.71%K -13.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-26 07:10
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-26 06:50
ProphetX◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.5%2026-09-26 06:45
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-09-26 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%3.1%2026-09-26 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%3.1%2026-09-26 06:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%3.1%2026-09-26 07:15
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%3.6%2026-09-26 06:50