Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-09-26 23:16 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 49.33%2.03cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%49.42%49.27%51.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.921.931.9754.64%52.04%51.81%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.67%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%50.58%50.73%51.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.881.881.9556.50%53.32%53.19%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 49.33% ; Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur) : 50.67%. Pour Tampa Bay Rays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.97. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.95, pour une espérance de -1.19% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.83%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.19%E -0.608%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-26 08:04
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 07:55
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 03:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 06:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 03:09
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 03:30
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 07:54
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 07:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.25%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 07:55
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.25%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 07:53
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 07:40
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 03:10
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.31%E -2.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:55
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 07:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 06:15
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:55
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:55
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:55
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:53
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:54
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 07:55
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 06:15
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 07:54
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 07:55
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 07:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.75%E -3.09%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 03:15
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 03:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 06:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 08:00
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 04:30
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-26 05:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.09%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.09%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 07:54
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.25%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:14
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.25%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:05
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.25%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:13
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.25%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.25%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 03:05
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 03:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 03:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 07:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.77%E -4.27%K -9.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 03:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.19%E -0.608%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 06:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.77%E -4.27%K -9.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 07:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -10.31%E -5.82%K -13.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 03:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-26 07:10
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-26 06:50
ProphetX◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.5%2026-09-26 08:00
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-09-26 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%3.1%2026-09-26 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%3.1%2026-09-26 06:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%3.1%2026-09-26 07:15
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%3.6%2026-09-26 06:50