Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 65.64%1.52fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.37%65.72%65.63%67.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.25%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 34.36%2.91fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.466%
Kelly +0.705%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.65%34.28%34.37%35.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.812.812.9538.17%35.54%35.59%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 65.64%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 34.36%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.37%E +0.466%K +0.705%G +0.010% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 19:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.72%E -0.601%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -2.75%E -0.971%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.44%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 20:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.44%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 20:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -4.47%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -4.81%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 20:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.97%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.84% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 34.16% | -0.1% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |