مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Pittsburgh Pirates

البداية: 2026-06-30 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 8–0 Pittsburgh Pirates

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.64%1.52السعر العادل
EV -1.55%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -3.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.37%65.72%65.63%67.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.25%69.44%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.36%2.91السعر العادل
EV +1.37%
الأفضلية +0.466%
Kelly +0.705%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.65%34.28%34.37%35.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.622.812.812.9538.17%35.54%35.59%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.37%E +0.466%K +0.705%G +0.010%3.8%2026-06-30 22:39
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 19:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 19:39
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:39
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:39
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:39
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:40
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:39
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:39
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 19:59
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 19:59
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 19:59
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 19:59
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.72%E -0.601%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 21:59
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-30 21:59
Everygame1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:40
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 20:10
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 21:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 21:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 21:59
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 19:59
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 21:59
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-30 22:00
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 22:29
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -2.75%E -0.971%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.44%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 20:19
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.44%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:30
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-30 20:09
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 20:10
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 21:59
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 21:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 22:00
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 21:59
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 20:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 20:19
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -4.47%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 22:19
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -4.81%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 21:59
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:38
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 20:19
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 22:29
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 22:39
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 20:09
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 22:39
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 20:10
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:09
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 20:09
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.97%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 22:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 65.84%2.93I 34.13%NM 34.16%-0.1%2026-06-30 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-30 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-30 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-30 22:40
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-30 22:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-30 22:29
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-06-30 22:40
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-06-30 22:40
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-06-30 22:30
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-06-30 22:40