La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Philadelphia Phillies v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 65.64%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.37%65.72%65.63%67.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.25%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 34.36%2.91momio equitativo
EV +1.37%
Ventaja +0.466%
Kelly +0.705%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.65%34.28%34.37%35.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.812.812.9538.17%35.54%35.59%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.37%E +0.466%K +0.705%G +0.010% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 19:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 19:39 |
| Casumo | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.343%E -0.118%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.72%E -0.601%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| GTbets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Everygame | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 20:10 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.14%E -4.29%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 21:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.41%E -0.847%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.36%EV -1.55%E -1.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.64%EV -2.75%E -0.971%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -3.44%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 20:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.44%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| ReBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 20:10 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 22:00 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.11%E -5.79%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 20:19 |
| BetUS | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.20%E -1.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -4.47%E -1.61%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -4.81%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 22:38 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 20:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:59 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.86%E -1.93%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.17%E -2.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.48%E -3.81%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 20:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.52%E -2.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.90%E -2.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 20:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.80%E -4.79%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.97%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.84% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 34.16% | -0.1% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 22:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 22:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 22:40 |