Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 58.42%1.71fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.615%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%58.27%58.25%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.641.7364.10%60.86%60.98%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 41.58%2.40fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.931%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%41.73%41.75%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.272.262.4646.73%44.01%44.25%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 58.42%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 41.58%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -4.78%E -2.93%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +2.29%E +0.931%K +1.57%G +0.036% | 2.0% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +1.46%E +0.598%K +1.01%G +0.015% | 2.0% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV +0.628%E +0.259%K +0.442%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV +0.628%E +0.259%K +0.442%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -0.619%E -0.259%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.04%E -0.435%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.95%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.45%E -0.612%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.95%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.45%E -0.612%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.78%E -2.93%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.28%E -0.971%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.28%E -0.971%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.28%E -0.971%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.28%E -0.971%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.95%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.28%E -0.971%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.27%E -0.753%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.11%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.53%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.78%E -2.93%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 22:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.28%E -5.28%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.19%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.61%E -2.47%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.61%E -2.47%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 22:37 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.78%E -2.93%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.61%E -2.47%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.78%E -2.93%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.61%E -2.47%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV +1.06%E +0.615%K +1.46%G +0.015% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -6.03%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-22 22:12 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.03%E -2.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -7.27%E -3.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -0.689%E -0.405%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -7.69%E -3.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -7.12%E -4.47%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.69%E -3.46%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.35%E -4.29%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -1.86%E -1.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 22:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 22:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.87%E -5.68%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-22 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -5.95%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -11.01%E -5.15%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-22 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-09-22 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07% | 3.4% | 2026-09-22 22:39 |