Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-22 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 55.92%1.79fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%55.87%55.86%56.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.71%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 44.08%2.27fair odd
EV +0.054%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.042%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.11%44.13%44.14%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2750.00%46.51%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 55.92%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 44.08%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.269. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.270, producing a positive expected value of +0.054%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.81%E -2.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV +0.054%E +0.024%K +0.042%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-21 17:54
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.02%E -0.574%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-21 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 17:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.03%E -1.38%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 17:49
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-21 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.02%E -0.574%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.02%E -0.574%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 17:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.02%E -0.574%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:59
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.91%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 17:34
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 18:34
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 17:48
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.37%E -2.56%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.93%E -2.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 19:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.05%E -3.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 18:59
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 17:34
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.24%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 18:58
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.61%E -3.96%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.56%E -3.09%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 18:59
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 17:39
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.25%E -1.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 18:34
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.68%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.44%E -3.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-21 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.40%E -5.81%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.64%E -4.70%K -9.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.52%E -6.58%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.85%E -5.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-21 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-21 18:54
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-21 17:44
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%9.9%2026-09-21 18:59