默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-22 22:41 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 55.90%1.79公平赔率
EV -1.05%
优势 -0.593%
Kelly -1.36%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
54.83%55.87%55.85%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.72%58.82%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Milwaukee Brewers (客队)

预测 44.10%2.27公平赔率
EV -2.11%
优势 -0.949%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%44.13%44.15%45.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.152.152.2250.00%46.50%46.51%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):55.90%;Milwaukee Brewers (客队):44.10%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.79。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为1.77,期望值为-1.05%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-21 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 17:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 18:14
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.11%E -0.949%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-21 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.73%E -1.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 17:34
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 18:34
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 17:48
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:34
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 17:34
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.43%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-21 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:59
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 19:09
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.52%E -3.27%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.75%E -2.20%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 19:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 18:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 17:34
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 18:58
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.52%E -3.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 18:59
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-21 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.44%E -5.82%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.55%E -6.60%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.81%E -5.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-21 18:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-21 18:54
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-21 17:44
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-21 19:45
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%9.9%2026-09-21 18:59