StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Philadelphia Phillies v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-09-22 22:41 UTC — MLB

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Philadelphia Phillies (Hemma)

Prognos 55.90%1.79rättvist odds
EV -1.05%
Fördel -0.593%
Kelly -1.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.83%55.87%55.85%56.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.72%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Borta)

Prognos 44.10%2.27rättvist odds
EV -2.11%
Fördel -0.949%
Kelly -1.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.15%44.13%44.15%45.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.152.152.2250.00%46.50%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Philadelphia Phillies (Hemma): 55.90%; Milwaukee Brewers (Borta): 44.10%. För Philadelphia Phillies (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.79. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.77, med väntevärdet -1.05%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-21 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 17:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.05%E -0.593%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-21 18:14
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.11%E -0.949%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-21 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.73%E -1.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 17:34
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 18:34
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-21 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 17:48
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 18:34
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.40%E -2.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 17:34
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.43%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-21 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:59
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.87%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.96%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 19:09
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.52%E -3.27%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.75%E -2.20%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 19:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 18:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.99%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 17:34
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 18:58
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.52%E -3.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 18:59
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.76%E -4.70%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.40%E -3.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-21 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.44%E -5.82%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.55%E -6.60%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.81%E -5.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-21 18:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-21 18:54
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-21 17:44
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-21 19:45
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%9.9%2026-09-21 18:59