La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-06-16 22:41 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Phillies 8–2 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Casa)

Previsione 61.78%1.62quota equa
EV -0.527%
Vantaggio -0.327%
Kelly -0.864%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.87%61.92%61.69%63.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.531.541.6168.97%65.23%64.94%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.22%2.62quota equa
EV +0.507%
Vantaggio +0.193%
Kelly +0.311%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.59%38.08%38.31%39.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.522.502.6342.02%39.74%40.00%38.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.507%E +0.193%K +0.311%G +0.002%2.1%2026-06-16 22:30
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:20
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:39
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:39
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.79%E -0.695%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.79%E -0.695%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 22:10
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 22:00
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:19
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 20:09
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.527%E -0.327%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -4.08%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 16:30
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 19:10
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 04:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:20
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:40
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:20
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 20:10
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:10
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:20
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.18%E -6.24%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 22:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 19:10
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 06:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 20:10
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 22:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -7.90%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 20:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-06-16 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-06-16 22:10
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:30
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-06-16 22:40