مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-06-16 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 8–2 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.78%1.62السعر العادل
EV -0.527%
الأفضلية -0.327%
Kelly -0.864%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.87%61.92%61.69%63.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.531.541.6168.97%65.23%64.94%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.22%2.62السعر العادل
EV +0.507%
الأفضلية +0.193%
Kelly +0.311%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.59%38.08%38.31%39.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.522.502.6342.02%39.74%40.00%38.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.507%E +0.193%K +0.311%G +0.002%2.1%2026-06-16 22:30
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:20
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:39
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:39
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.79%E -0.695%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.79%E -0.695%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 22:10
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 22:00
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:19
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 20:09
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.527%E -0.327%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -4.08%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 16:30
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 19:10
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 04:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:20
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:40
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:20
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 20:10
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:10
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:20
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.18%E -6.24%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 22:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 19:10
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 06:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 20:10
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 22:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -7.90%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 20:18
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-06-16 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-06-16 22:10
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:30
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-06-16 22:40