La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-06-16 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 8–2 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 61.78%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.527%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.864%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.87%61.92%61.69%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.541.6168.97%65.23%64.94%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 38.22%2.62momio equitativo
EV +0.507%
Ventaja +0.193%
Kelly +0.311%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%38.08%38.31%39.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.522.502.6342.02%39.74%40.00%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV +0.507%E +0.193%K +0.311%G +0.002%2.1%2026-06-16 22:30
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 22:20
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.639%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 21:40
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:39
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.40%E -0.544%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:39
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.79%E -0.695%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.79%E -0.695%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-16 22:10
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 22:00
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:19
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.31%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 20:09
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -0.527%E -0.327%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -4.08%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 16:30
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 19:10
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 04:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:10
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:20
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:40
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:20
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 20:10
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 22:10
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 22:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 20:20
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.18%E -6.24%K -19.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 22:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 19:10
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 06:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 20:10
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 22:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -7.90%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 20:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-06-16 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-06-16 22:10
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:30
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-06-16 22:40