The School of Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-07-22 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 49.94%2.00fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.78%50.00%50.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.911.9655%52%52%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 50.06%2.00fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.962%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.22%50.00%51.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.901.9656%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.89%E -0.962%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 18:40
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.11%E -1.08%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 18:15
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 18:20
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 18:20
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.61%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 19:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.61%E -1.34%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 19:10
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.11%E -1.60%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:00
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.61%E -1.87%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 19:19
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.11%E -2.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 18:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 21:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:20
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.39%E -2.85%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:20
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.61%E -2.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 22:40
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:20
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.57%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:18
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.11%E -2.69%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.61%E -3.53%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.39%E -2.30%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -8.11%E -4.41%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.11%E -5.00%K -11.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.90%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-07-21 22:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-21 18:15
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-07-21 22:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%9.9%2026-07-21 19:20