La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-07-22 22:42 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 5–9 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 46.33%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.852%
Ventaja -0.398%
Kelly -0.748%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.52%46.29%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.72%48.78%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 53.67%1.86momio equitativo
EV +0.362%
Ventaja +0.193%
Kelly +0.416%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%53.48%53.71%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.791.8758.82%56.03%55.87%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.362%E +0.193%K +0.416%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-22 22:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.79%E -0.976%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 22:39
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-22 22:35
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-22 22:29
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.852%E -0.398%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 22:24
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 22:25
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 22:25
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 22:24
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 22:39
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:39
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:39
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 22:19
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 22:24
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:05
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:44
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:34
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:24
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:25
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 03:05
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 20:14
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 22:38
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 22:38
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:05
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:05
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:03
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:04
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:04
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.95%E -2.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:19
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:25
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:25
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:24
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:24
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:24
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 22:05
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 22:04
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 22:04
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 22:38
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:34
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:22
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:34
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.17%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:25
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:25
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:39
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:04
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:39
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:24
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.73%E -4.43%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 22:19
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.62%E -3.80%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 22:25
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.23%E -4.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.76%E -5.15%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 22:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.49%-0.9%2026-07-22 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-07-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-07-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-07-22 22:40
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%0.4%2026-07-22 22:34
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-07-22 22:04
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-22 22:39
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-22 21:45
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-22 22:34
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-07-22 22:34