默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v Los Angeles Dodgers

开赛时间: 2026-07-22 22:42 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 5–9 Los Angeles Dodgers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 46.33%2.16公平赔率
EV -0.852%
优势 -0.398%
Kelly -0.748%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.14

博彩公司预测分布
44.74%46.52%46.29%48.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.052.052.1451.28%48.72%48.78%46.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)

预测 53.67%1.86公平赔率
EV +0.362%
优势 +0.193%
Kelly +0.416%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
51.05%53.48%53.71%55.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.781.791.8758.82%56.03%55.87%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):46.33%;Los Angeles Dodgers (客队):53.67%。 对于“Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.86。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.87,对应+0.362%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.362%E +0.193%K +0.416%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-22 22:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.79%E -0.976%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 22:39
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-22 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-22 22:29
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -0.852%E -0.398%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-22 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 22:25
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.32%E -0.618%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 22:24
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-22 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-22 22:39
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.86%E -1.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 22:19
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 18:44
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:34
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:25
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 03:05
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 20:14
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 22:38
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.40%E -1.89%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 22:38
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:05
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:05
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:03
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:04
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 22:04
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.95%E -2.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 22:19
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:25
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.93%E -2.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 22:24
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:24
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 22:04
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.47%E -2.51%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-22 22:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:34
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:34
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 22:22
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.01%E -2.83%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 22:34
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.17%E -1.52%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.56%E -2.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.54%E -3.15%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 22:25
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.24%E -1.06%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 22:39
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.02%E -2.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 20:04
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:39
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.41%E -3.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-22 22:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.73%E -4.43%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.08%E -3.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 22:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.62%E -3.80%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 22:25
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.23%E -4.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.76%E -5.15%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 22:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.49%-0.9%2026-07-22 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-07-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-07-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-07-22 22:40
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.89%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.11%0.4%2026-07-22 22:34
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-07-22 22:04
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-07-22 22:39
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-22 21:45
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-22 22:34
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-07-22 22:34