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Philadelphia Phillies v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 61.92%1.62fair odd
EV -0.930%
Edge -0.581%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%61.95%62.03%63.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.84%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 38.08%2.63fair odd
EV +0.915%
Edge +0.345%
Kelly +0.555%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.75%38.05%37.97%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.512.502.6542.02%39.82%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 61.92%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 38.08%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.915%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV +0.915%E +0.345%K +0.555%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.989%E -0.380%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-22 22:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.17%E -1.37%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-22 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-22 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-22 22:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 03:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.51%E -0.981%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-22 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-22 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -0.930%E -0.581%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -3.27%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.27%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-22 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.65%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 14:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 19:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 20:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 14:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 22:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 03:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 03:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 22:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.60%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 22:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 20:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.70% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 38.30% | 0.0% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-22 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-22 22:09 |