La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Phillies v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-05-22 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 0–1 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Predicción 61.92%1.62momio equitativo
EV -0.930%
Ventaja -0.581%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.87%61.95%62.03%63.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.84%64.94%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 38.08%2.63momio equitativo
EV +0.915%
Ventaja +0.345%
Kelly +0.555%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.75%38.05%37.97%39.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.512.502.6542.02%39.82%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV +0.915%E +0.345%K +0.555%G +0.005%2.7%2026-05-22 20:59
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.989%E -0.380%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-22 22:19
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.17%E -1.37%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 22:30
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 22:29
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 03:19
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.51%E -0.981%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-22 22:09
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 19:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 20:49
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 20:59
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 20:59
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:10
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 22:09
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 22:09
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 14:30
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -0.930%E -0.581%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -3.27%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-22 22:39
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.27%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-22 19:20
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.65%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 19:20
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 14:39
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 14:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 19:10
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 19:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 01:30
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:57
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:39
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 22:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 22:09
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 20:59
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 20:59
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 20:59
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 20:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:30
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 14:28
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 22:38
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:30
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 03:10
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 03:10
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 22:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 22:39
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 14:39
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 22:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.60%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 22:28
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 20:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.70%2.61I 38.31%NM 38.30%0.0%2026-05-22 22:39
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-22 22:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-22 22:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-22 16:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-22 22:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-05-22 22:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-22 22:09