Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 22:41 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 0–1 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 61.92%1.62cote équitable
EV -0.930%
Avantage -0.581%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.87%61.95%62.03%63.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.84%64.94%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.08%2.63cote équitable
EV +0.915%
Avantage +0.345%
Kelly +0.555%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.75%38.05%37.97%39.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.512.502.6542.02%39.82%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 61.92% ; Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur) : 38.08%. Pour Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.63. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.65, soit une espérance positive de +0.915%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV +0.915%E +0.345%K +0.555%G +0.005%2.7%2026-05-22 20:59
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -0.989%E -0.380%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-22 22:19
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.17%E -1.37%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 22:29
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.75%E -0.678%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 03:19
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.51%E -0.981%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-22 22:09
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 20:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 20:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 22:09
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 22:09
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.89%E -1.13%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -0.930%E -0.581%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -3.27%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-22 22:39
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.79%E -1.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.27%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-22 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.65%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 14:39
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 19:30
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.03%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:59
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 20:57
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 22:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 20:59
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 20:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 20:59
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 20:59
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 14:28
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 22:38
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 03:10
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.65%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 03:10
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 22:39
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 22:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.60%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 22:28
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 20:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.70%2.61I 38.31%NM 38.30%0.0%2026-05-22 22:39
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-22 22:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-05-22 22:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-22 16:20
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-22 22:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-05-22 22:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-05-22 22:09