Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 57.98%1.72fair odd
EV -0.274%
Edge -0.159%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.98%58.01%59.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.651.7262.50%60.80%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 42.02%2.38fair odd
EV -0.833%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.613%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.71%42.02%41.99%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.3646.51%43.78%43.48%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 57.98%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 42.02%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.725. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.720, with an expected value of -0.274%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.274%E -0.159%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 14:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.854%E -0.499%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 16:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.93%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-20 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.04%E -2.23%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.14%E -3.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -0.833%E -0.353%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 16:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40% | 0.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |